Swing States have been coming into play that I didn’t believe were possible, Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia, for example. Now, some other States have apparently come into play for the Obama campaign.
It’s interesting that I mentioned just recently that North Dakota and Montana may be States that Obama could win if he would make his [...]
Continue reading about From Swing States to Demoralization States
Barack is doing quite well, so far, but we’ll see the McCain ‘campaign’ throw a lot of shit around just to see what sticks.
There’s also a debate coming up tonight. It’s unlikely that Barack will take many risks. He doesn’t have to. He has a commanding lead. McCain will need to [...]
Yeah, I’m a geek.
It’s Friday night, and I’m ciphering like Jethro.
Later, I’ll have an India Pale Ale and watch Stargate Atlantis.
I got a lot of new polling data today, and the new report looks like this:
Senator Obama leads Senator McCain by 6.27%.
That represents an electoral vote range of 337 - 370 for Senator Obama.
Real Clear [...]
Continue reading about Friday Night Presidential Polling Update
It’s been eight days since we last visited the trendy swingers. Some of them swing no more. Hot Free Press is now considering pulling out of Pennsylvania after she fell so strongly for the black guy, but for now, Pennsylvania remains on the pretty table below.
We’ve added Missouri and Colorado. I’ve been [...]
Hmmm…
Well, much has changed since the last time I looked at a handful of swing States. There’s been a crisis, another crisis, Governor Palin said some stupid stuff, Senator Biden said some other stupid stuff, Senator McCain did some stupid stuff, and Senator Obama did his best to stay out of the way while [...]
Because Democrats have a propensity to recklessly lose elections, and Republicans will literally do and say anything to win, it’s difficult for me to take the position I’m taking now:
Advantage: Obama
To be clear, that is not a prediction of November’s outcome. There is much tennis yet to be played. Was that too [...]
As we near the end of September, several States are still up for grabs in the presidential election. State polling data is sparse and erratic.
I am obsessed, not with polls, but with polling data, and trying to make sense of what one of my least favorite professors from back in the day would have called [...]