Hot Free Press on November 3rd, 2008

Tomorrow’s the big day, kids!
Be sure to vote, unless you vote for conservatives, in which case be sure to stay home, but have a wonderful day, nonetheless!
While I still consider Colorado to be Obama’s last chance State, Virginia and Florida are also States which Senator McCain pretty much has to win. By Obama’s last [...]

Continue reading about Addendum IV to ‘Hot Free Press is Calling the Election!’

Hot Free Press on September 24th, 2008

As we near the end of September, several States are still up for grabs in the presidential election.  State polling data is sparse and erratic.
I am obsessed, not with polls, but with polling data, and trying to make sense of what one of my least favorite professors from back in the day would have called [...]

Continue reading about September Trends in the Swing States

Hot Free Press on September 19th, 2008

Hot Free Press is the only site using State by State data to look at Electoral Vote trends before the State polling data arrives.  Sounds magical, no?
It really isn’t magic.  It’s a risky, error-ridden model we use to convert the national polls to electoral vote trends.
The margin of error is rather high, but it always [...]

Continue reading about Electoral Vote Update, September 19, 2008