Hot Free Press on November 2nd, 2008

There’s something funky going on tonight.
Obama’s lead and his EV seem too high, or so says my reasonable brain.
The math, however, says it is what it is.  Remember, the EV in this scenario is a calculated number.  It is not determined by adding up individual States on a map.  I’m not Karl Rove.  It’s modeled.  [...]

Continue reading about Addendum III to ‘Hot Free Press is Calling the Election!’

Hot Free Press on November 1st, 2008

Continue reading about Addendum II to ‘Hot Free Press is Calling the Election!’

Hot Free Press on October 29th, 2008

I watched Obama’s half-hour infomercial tonight.  It was well-done and comforting.  I suppose that’s all one could ask.  It’s doubtful that it will draw any Republican voters, but then that doesn’t seem to be what it was designed to do.
It played more as an appeal to Obama’s supporters to get off their high-falutin’, elitist asses [...]

Continue reading about Watching Barack

Hot Free Press on October 28th, 2008

I’ve been busier than a cat burying shit on a tin roof, so fewer updates for you, my loyal and exclusive readership.
As an aside, one of the things I often type wrong on my BlackBerry Pearl is the word ‘relax’.  For reasons known only to Ganesh, I often have BlackBerry exchanges that look like this:
To [...]

Continue reading about October Polling Data

Hot Free Press on October 21st, 2008

McCain’s other surge doesn’t appear to exist, except in the minds of negative, paranoid moonbats and in the minds of wingnuts who rely on faith-based statistics and creation math.
Of course, the McCain comeback scenario is also very popular in the media which not only relies on ratings, but also loves John McCain with a passion [...]

Continue reading about McCain’s Other Surge

Hot Free Press on October 1st, 2008

Hmmm…
Well, much has changed since the last time I looked at a handful of swing States. There’s been a crisis, another crisis, Governor Palin said some stupid stuff, Senator Biden said some other stupid stuff, Senator McCain did some stupid stuff, and Senator Obama did his best to stay out of the way while [...]

Continue reading about Trendy Swingers

Hot Free Press on September 12th, 2008

The news mediocre is awash in the gaiety of polls, but aren’t we all?
The polls themselves use small samples to try to get a handle on the tide of the presidential election.  Will it be that smooth talkin’ black dude with the funny name and the razor-tongued old guy with all those teeth, or [...]

Continue reading about On the Post-Convention Bumps